Start Braelon Allen or Bucky Irving? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Bucky Irving over Braelon Allen in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 12.1 points and Braelon Allen at 11.8, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bucky Irving at 55.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 16 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Braelon Allen at 56.5 rushing yards, 11.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 16 and 17 market sources).

That puts Bucky Irving 0.3 points ahead of Braelon Allen on the market projections.

Injury status

Bucky Irving was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Bucky Irving played 64 percent of TB snaps, took 62 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bucky Irving, Week 2 against CLE: 51 of 65 snaps, 17 carries for 89 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 1 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Through Week 3, Braelon Allen played 41 percent of NYJ snaps, took 23 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 2 against GB: 23 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Bucky Irving scored 6.1 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 8.7.

The call was wrong: Braelon Allen outscored Bucky Irving by 2.6.

Bucky Irving finished 6.0 points below the 12.1 the market projected.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.1 PPR points.

Bucky Irving finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.

Braelon Allen finished 3.1 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB33 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bucky Irving.
• Start Bucky Irving over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Bucky Irving over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Braelon Allen.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Braelon Allen.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over Braelon Allen.