Start Bucky Irving or Alvin Kamara? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Bucky Irving over Alvin Kamara in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 12.1 points and Alvin Kamara at 12.1, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bucky Irving at 55.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 16 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Alvin Kamara at 37.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 16 market sources).

That puts Bucky Irving 0.0 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on the market projections.

Injury status

Bucky Irving was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Bucky Irving played 64 percent of TB snaps, took 62 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bucky Irving, Week 2 against CLE: 51 of 65 snaps, 17 carries for 89 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 1 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Bucky Irving scored 6.1 PPR points and Alvin Kamara scored 22.8.

The call was wrong: Alvin Kamara outscored Bucky Irving by 16.7.

Bucky Irving finished 6.0 points below the 12.1 the market projected.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.1 PPR points.

Bucky Irving finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.

Alvin Kamara finished 10.7 points above the 12.1 the market projected.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.

Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bucky Irving.
• Start Bucky Irving over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Bucky Irving over Bhayshul Tuten.
• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Bhayshul Tuten.