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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Bucky Irving? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bucky Irving

Right: 16.8 to 6.1
Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · final

Market projected
14.4
pre-game
Scored
16.8
PPR pts
Sit

Bucky Irving

RB · final

Market projected
12.7
pre-game
Snap share
58%
Week 4
Target share
0%
Week 4
Scored
6.1
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Bucky Irving in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.4 points and Bucky Irving at 12.7, a gap of 1.8.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (7 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 12.7 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bucky Irving at 60.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15, 13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.8 points ahead of Bucky Irving on the market projections.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Bucky Irving was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Bucky Irving played 64 percent of TB snaps, took 62 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bucky Irving, Week 2 against CLE: 51 of 65 snaps, 17 carries for 89 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 1 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8 PPR points and Bucky Irving scored 6.1.

The call was right: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored Bucky Irving by 10.7.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished 2.4 points above the 14.5 the market projected.

Bucky Irving finished 6.6 points below the 12.7 the market projected.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.1 PPR points.

Bucky Irving finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB9 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 4-0

Overall rank
17
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB20 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
53
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board36
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 7
  • Board size221 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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