Start Ashton Jeanty or Bucky Irving? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Bucky Irving over Ashton Jeanty
Wrong: 6.1 to 18.6
- Market projected
- 12.1
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 58%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 6.1
- PPR pts

- Market projected
- 15.8
- pre-game
- KC D vs RB
- 20.0
- 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 67%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 17%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 18.6
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Bucky Irving over Ashton Jeanty in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 12.1 points and Ashton Jeanty at 15.8, a gap of 3.7.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 58.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 14 and 18 market sources).
Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Bucky Irving at 55.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 16 and 18 market sources).
That puts Ashton Jeanty 3.7 points ahead of Bucky Irving on the market projections.
Week 4 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
KC allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 38 more yards.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Bucky Irving was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Ashton Jeanty played 80 percent of LV snaps, took 74 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 56 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Through Week 3, Bucky Irving played 64 percent of TB snaps, took 62 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 30 percent of the red zone chances.
Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.
Bucky Irving, Week 2 against CLE: 51 of 65 snaps, 17 carries for 89 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 1 yards.
Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.
He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Bucky Irving scored 6.1 PPR points and Ashton Jeanty scored 18.6.
The call was wrong: Ashton Jeanty outscored Bucky Irving by 12.5.
Bucky Irving finished 6.0 points below the 12.1 the market projected.
Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.1 PPR points.
Bucky Irving finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.
Ashton Jeanty finished 2.8 points above the 15.8 the market projected.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards, 18.6 PPR points.
Ashton Jeanty finished as the week's RB14 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB10 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 21
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
RB20 · TB · bye 10
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 58
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board37
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 9
- Board size248 draftable players
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