Start D'Andre Swift or Alvin Kamara? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Alvin Kamara over D'Andre Swift
Right: 22.8 to 7.4
- Market projected
- 12.1
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 38%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 22.8
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 14.6
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs RB
- 27.3
- 4th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 6%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 7.4
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Alvin Kamara over D'Andre Swift in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 12.1 points and D'Andre Swift at 14.6, a gap of 2.5.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Alvin Kamara at 37.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 43% chance to score a touchdown (11, 16, 12 and 16 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has D'Andre Swift at 63.5 rushing yards, 14.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 17 market sources).
That puts D'Andre Swift 2.5 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on the market projections.
Week 4 matchups
D'Andre Swift and CHI host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 114 yards and a touchdown a game against NYJ and caught passes for 34 more yards.
Injury status
Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.
D'Andre Swift was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.
Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.
Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Through Week 3, D'Andre Swift played 65 percent of CHI snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 34 percent of the red zone chances.
D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns.
D'Andre Swift, Week 2 against MIN: 50 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 45 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards.
D'Andre Swift, Week 3 against PHI: 50 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 84 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.
He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Alvin Kamara scored 22.8 PPR points and D'Andre Swift scored 7.4.
The call was right: Alvin Kamara outscored D'Andre Swift by 15.4.
Alvin Kamara finished 10.7 points above the 12.1 the market projected.
Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.
Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.
D'Andre Swift finished 7.2 points below the 14.6 the market projected.
D'Andre Swift, Week 4 against NYJ: 33 of 93 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 7.4 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB37 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB14 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 31
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
RB30 · NO · bye unlisted
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board57
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 7 and tier 10
- Board size248 draftable players
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