Start D'Andre Swift or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over D'Andre Swift
Right: 16.8 to 7.4
- Market projected
- 17.2
- pre-game
- Scored
- 16.8
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 15.9
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs RB
- 27.3
- 4th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 35%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 6%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 7.4
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over D'Andre Swift in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 17.2 points and D'Andre Swift at 15.9, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 66.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 14 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has D'Andre Swift at 67.5 rushing yards, 14.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (6, 9, 6 and 13 market sources).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.3 points ahead of D'Andre Swift on the market projections.
Week 4 matchups
D'Andre Swift and CHI host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 114 yards and a touchdown a game against NYJ and caught passes for 34 more yards.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
D'Andre Swift was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, D'Andre Swift played 65 percent of CHI snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 34 percent of the red zone chances.
D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns.
D'Andre Swift, Week 2 against MIN: 50 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 45 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards.
D'Andre Swift, Week 3 against PHI: 50 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 84 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.
He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 4 went
Aaron Jones Sr. scored 16.8 PPR points and D'Andre Swift scored 7.4.
The call was right: Aaron Jones Sr. outscored D'Andre Swift by 9.4.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished 0.4 points below the 17.2 the market projected.
D'Andre Swift finished 8.5 points below the 15.9 the market projected.
D'Andre Swift, Week 4 against NYJ: 33 of 93 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 7.4 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB37 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB6 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 11
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 23
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board12
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 6
- Board size269 draftable players
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