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Start Ashton Jeanty or D'Andre Swift? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Ashton Jeanty over D'Andre Swift

Right: 18.6 to 7.4
Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · vs KC · final

Market projected
15.8
pre-game
KC D vs RB
20.0
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Week 4
Target share
17%
Week 4
Scored
18.6
PPR pts
Sit

D'Andre Swift

RB · CHI · vs NYJ · final

Market projected
14.6
pre-game
NYJ D vs RB
27.3
4th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Week 4
Target share
6%
Week 4
Scored
7.4
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over D'Andre Swift in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.8 points and D'Andre Swift at 14.6, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Ashton Jeanty at ADP 9 and D'Andre Swift at 15.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Ashton Jeanty at 58.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 14 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has D'Andre Swift at 63.5 rushing yards, 14.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 50% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 17 market sources).

That puts Ashton Jeanty 1.2 points ahead of D'Andre Swift on the market projections.

Week 4 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 20.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 38 more yards.

D'Andre Swift and CHI host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 27.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and a touchdown a game against NYJ and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, D'Andre Swift has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty was not on the injury report when the call was made.

D'Andre Swift was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Ashton Jeanty played 80 percent of LV snaps, took 74 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 56 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 3, D'Andre Swift played 65 percent of CHI snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 34 percent of the red zone chances.

D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns.

D'Andre Swift, Week 2 against MIN: 50 of 74 snaps, 16 carries for 45 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 54 yards.

D'Andre Swift, Week 3 against PHI: 50 of 72 snaps, 20 carries for 84 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.

He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Ashton Jeanty scored 18.6 PPR points and D'Andre Swift scored 7.4.

The call was right: Ashton Jeanty outscored D'Andre Swift by 11.2.

Ashton Jeanty finished 2.8 points above the 15.8 the market projected.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards, 18.6 PPR points.

Ashton Jeanty finished as the week's RB14 in PPR scoring.

D'Andre Swift finished 7.2 points below the 14.6 the market projected.

D'Andre Swift, Week 4 against NYJ: 33 of 93 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 7.4 PPR points.

D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB37 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB10 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
20
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

RB19 · CHI · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 4-0

Overall rank
44
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board24
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size241 draftable players

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