Start Puka Nacua or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Puka Nacua over Amon-Ra St. Brown
Wrong: 12.4 to 28.7
- Books imply
- 9.1
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs WR
- 19.8
- 5th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 70%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 33%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 12.4
- PPR pts

- NO D vs WR
- 37.2
- 10th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 90%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 36%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 28.7
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Puka Nacua over Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 1.
Puka Nacua is priced by the books at 9.1 projected points. Amon-Ra St. Brown has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Puka Nacua at ADP 3 and Amon-Ra St. Brown at 7. Market coverage on Puka Nacua is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Puka Nacua, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Amon-Ra St. Brown in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Puka Nacua and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 19.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 108 yards and no touchdowns against SF.
Amon-Ra St. Brown and DET host NO.
NO allowed 37.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO.
By points allowed to the position, Amon-Ra St. Brown has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Puka Nacua was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Amon-Ra St. Brown was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Puka Nacua played 16 games for LAR and scored 375.0 PPR points, 23.4 a game, finishing WR1.
He caught 129 of 166 targets for 1715 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 1049 air yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Puka Nacua, Week 18 of 2025 against ARI: 2 carries for 24 yards, 11 targets and 10 catches for 76 yards, 1 touchdown, 26.0 PPR points.
Puka Nacua, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 48 of 65 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 47 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.7 PPR points.
Puka Nacua, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 72 of 92 snaps, 16 targets and 12 catches for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns, 46.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Amon-Ra St. Brown played 17 games for DET and scored 324.0 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing WR3.
He caught 117 of 172 targets for 1401 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 34 red zone targets and 831 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 15 targets and 11 catches for 139 yards, 24.9 PPR points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 53 of 64 snaps, 13 targets and 8 catches for 68 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 72 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 54 yards, 9.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Puka Nacua scored 12.4 PPR points and Amon-Ra St. Brown scored 28.7.
The call was wrong: Amon-Ra St. Brown outscored Puka Nacua by 16.3.
Puka Nacua finished 3.4 points above the 9.1 the props implied.
Puka Nacua, Week 1 against SF: 43 of 61 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 74 yards, 12.4 PPR points.
Puka Nacua finished as the week's WR27 in PPR scoring.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Week 1 against NO: 69 of 77 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns, 28.7 PPR points.
Amon-Ra St. Brown finished as the week's WR4 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR27 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 10-6
- Overall rank
- 93
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR70 · DET · bye 6
2025 vs rec yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 185
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board92
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
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