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Start Ashton Jeanty or Breece Hall? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Ashton Jeanty over Breece Hall

Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · vs MIA · questionable

MIA D vs RB
36.9
4th most to RBs (2026)
Sit

Breece Hall

RB · NYJ · at TEN · questionable

TEN D vs RB
23.8
15th most to RBs (2026)

Our Week 1 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Breece Hall in Week 1.

Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Ashton Jeanty at ADP 23 and Breece Hall at 30.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Ashton Jeanty in Week 1.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Breece Hall in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV host MIA.

MIA allowed 36.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 144 yards and no touchdowns against MIA and caught passes for 45 more yards.

Breece Hall and NYJ visit TEN.

TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Breece Hall was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 26 carries for 87 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 12.4 PPR points.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 48 of 59 snaps, 16 carries for 60 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards, 9.3 PPR points.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 16 of 2025 against HOU: 50 of 54 snaps, 24 carries for 128 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 60 yards, 2 touchdowns, 31.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Breece Hall played 16 games for NYJ and scored 207.7 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing RB19.

He ran 243 times for 1065 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 350 yards.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Breece Hall, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 30 of 61 snaps, 14 carries for 111 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.

Breece Hall, Week 16 of 2025 against NO: 42 of 66 snaps, 16 carries for 54 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

Breece Hall, Week 15 of 2025 against JAX: 37 of 68 snaps, 12 carries for 23 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB3 · LV · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
4
Draft pick
ADP 4
Tier
2

Ranked behind

RB17 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs rush yds line 7-9

Overall rank
43
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board39
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 3
  • Board size244 draftable players

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