Start Bhayshul Tuten or Jaylen Warren? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bhayshul Tuten over Jaylen Warren
Wrong: 9.8 to 10.3
- Books imply
- 6.3
- fantasy pts
- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 49%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 5%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.8
- PPR pts

- ATL D vs RB
- 14.4
- 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 37%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 16%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Bhayshul Tuten over Jaylen Warren in Week 1.
Bhayshul Tuten is priced by the books at 6.3 projected points. Jaylen Warren has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Bhayshul Tuten at ADP 57 and Jaylen Warren at 62. Market coverage on Bhayshul Tuten is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Bhayshul Tuten, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jaylen Warren in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Bhayshul Tuten and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Jaylen Warren and PIT host ATL.
ATL allowed 14.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 61 yards and no touchdowns against ATL and caught passes for 33 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Bhayshul Tuten has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Bhayshul Tuten was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jaylen Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bhayshul Tuten played 15 games for JAX and scored 88.6 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB53.
He ran 83 times for 307 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 10 of 14 targets for 79 yards.
He was on the field for 21 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 8.3 PPR points.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 15 of 2025 against NYJ: 11 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.3 PPR points.
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jaylen Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 14 carries for 66 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 14.9 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against CLE: 21 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 64 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.4 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 36 of 74 snaps, 14 carries for 143 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.1 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Bhayshul Tuten scored 9.8 PPR points and Jaylen Warren scored 10.3.
The call was wrong: Jaylen Warren outscored Bhayshul Tuten by 0.5.
Bhayshul Tuten finished 3.5 points above the 6.3 the props implied.
Bhayshul Tuten, Week 1 against CLE: 28 of 57 snaps, 15 carries for 66 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 22 yards, 9.8 PPR points.
Bhayshul Tuten finished as the week's RB28 in PPR scoring.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards, 10.3 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren finished as the week's RB25 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB15 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 7-8
- Overall rank
- 36
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB25 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-11
- Overall rank
- 53
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board17
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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