Start C.J. Stroud or Bo Nix? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Bo Nix in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project C.J. Stroud at 16.9 points and Bo Nix at 16.9, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have C.J. Stroud at 236.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17, 14 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Bo Nix at 211.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 17% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 14 and 15 books).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.0 points ahead of Bo Nix on the books.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 102 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

Through Week 2, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 64 times and threw an average of 6.1 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

C.J. Stroud, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 14 of 23 passes for 169 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards, 17.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start C.J. Stroud over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bryce Young over C.J. Stroud.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Deshaun Watson.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bryce Young over Bo Nix.