Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Jaylin Noel? Week 5
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jaylin Noel
Wrong: 0.0 to 15.2
- Market projected
- 6.4
- pre-game
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 4.5
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 45%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 4
- Scored
- 15.2
- PPR pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Jaylin Noel in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Brian Thomas Jr. at 6.4 points and Jaylin Noel at 4.5, a gap of 1.9.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 24.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16 and 16 market sources).
Player markets imply 4.5 fantasy points for Jaylin Noel, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Jaylin Noel at 19.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14 and 15 market sources).
That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 1.9 points ahead of Jaylin Noel on the market projections.
Injury status
Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.
Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Jaylin Noel played 45 percent of HOU snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaylin Noel, Week 1 against BUF: 24 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 53 yards.
Jaylin Noel, Week 2 against CIN: 48 of 80 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 5 targets and 1 catch for 31 yards.
Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.
Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.
He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.
He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 5 went
Brian Thomas Jr. scored 0.0 PPR points and Jaylin Noel scored 15.2.
The call was wrong: Jaylin Noel outscored Brian Thomas Jr. by 15.2.
Brian Thomas Jr. finished 6.4 points below the 6.4 the market projected.
Jaylin Noel finished 10.7 points above the 4.5 the market projected.
Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.2 PPR points.
Jaylin Noel finished as the week's WR15 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR63 · JAX · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 1-4
- Overall rank
- 165
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 18
Ranked behind
WR71 · HOU · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 180
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 18
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board15
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 18
- Board size288 draftable players
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