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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Kyle Pitts Sr.

Books imply
8.9
fantasy pts
Books imply
8.8
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Kyle Pitts Sr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.9 points and Kyle Pitts Sr. at 8.8, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kyle Pitts Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Brian Thomas Jr. at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (17, 15 and 17 books).

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.0 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on the books.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR41 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
100
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

TE16 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
112
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board12
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 11 and tier 2
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board