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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Quentin Johnston? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Quentin Johnston

Books imply
8.9
fantasy pts
Books imply
8.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
80%
Through Week 2
Target share
21%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Quentin Johnston in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Brian Thomas Jr. at 8.9 points and Quentin Johnston at 8.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Brian Thomas Jr. at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 8.7 fantasy points for Quentin Johnston, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Quentin Johnston at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Brian Thomas Jr. 0.2 points ahead of Quentin Johnston on the books.

Injury status

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Quentin Johnston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Quentin Johnston played 80 percent of LAC snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Quentin Johnston, Week 1 against ARI: 43 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Quentin Johnston, Week 2 against LV: 55 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 5 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Quentin Johnston played 14 games for LAC and scored 171.2 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR34.

He caught 51 of 85 targets for 735 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 514 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Quentin Johnston, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 47 of 63 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 98 yards, 14.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR41 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
100
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

WR44 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 4-10

Overall rank
106
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board6
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board