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Start Bucky Irving or Quinshon Judkins? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bucky Irving over Quinshon Judkins

Right: 20.3 to 7.0
Start

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CIN

Books imply
7.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
23.1
16th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
61%
Week 1
Target share
26%
Week 1
Scored
20.3
PPR pts
Sit

Quinshon Judkins

RB · CLE · at JAX

JAX D vs RB
12.6
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
65%
Week 1
Target share
9%
Week 1
Scored
7.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Bucky Irving over Quinshon Judkins in Week 1.

Bucky Irving is priced by the books at 7.5 projected points. Quinshon Judkins has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Bucky Irving at ADP 49 and Quinshon Judkins at 47. Market coverage on Bucky Irving is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Quinshon Judkins in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 7.5 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Quinshon Judkins and CLE visit JAX.

JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Bucky Irving and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 23.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 60 yards and a touchdown against CIN and caught passes for 51 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Quinshon Judkins was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Bucky Irving was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Quinshon Judkins played 15 games for CLE and scored 169.8 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB26.

He ran 230 times for 827 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 26 of 36 targets for 171 yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 16 of 2025 against BUF: 26 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 29 yards, 10.1 PPR points.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 15 of 2025 against CHI: 38 of 57 snaps, 12 carries for 21 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for -4 yards, 4.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bucky Irving, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 42 of 67 snaps, 26 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 13 yards, 10.8 PPR points.

Bucky Irving, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 36 of 67 snaps, 9 carries for 19 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 14 yards, 8.3 PPR points.

Bucky Irving, Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 40 of 64 snaps, 19 carries for 71 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 7.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Bucky Irving scored 20.3 PPR points and Quinshon Judkins scored 7.0.

The call was right: Bucky Irving outscored Quinshon Judkins by 13.3.

Bucky Irving finished 12.8 points above the 7.5 the props implied.

Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.3 PPR points.

Bucky Irving finished as the week's RB12 in PPR scoring.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 1 against JAX: 33 of 51 snaps, 12 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 7.0 PPR points.

Quinshon Judkins finished as the week's RB39 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB18 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs rush yds line 3-7

Overall rank
44
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB35 · CLE · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 1-8

Overall rank
92
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board48
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 7
  • Board size244 draftable players

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