Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Jake Ferguson at 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Cade Otton at 7.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Cade Otton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 127th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 69 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 38 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against WAS he caught 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Cade Otton has been on the field for 94 percent of TB snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 26 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 7.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against CLE he caught 5 of 6 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against MIN he caught 3 of 6 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 4 of 6 targets for 37 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Cade Otton played 16 games and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.

He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 5.1 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 9.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Cade Otton 7.6, 3.4 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Cade Otton TE22.

Jake Ferguson had 21 more targets than Cade Otton, 102 to 81.

Jake Ferguson had 28 more receiving yards than Cade Otton, 600 to 572.

This season Cade Otton holds the bigger snap share, 94 percent against 69 percent.

This season Cade Otton holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 10 percent.

What would change the answer

0.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.