Start Carnell Tate or Michael Pittman Jr.? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Carnell Tate over Michael Pittman Jr.
Wrong: 7.8 to 8.8
- Books implied
- 5.3
- pre-game
- NYJ D vs WR
- 24.4
- 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 7.8
- PPR pts
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Carnell Tate over Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 1.
Carnell Tate is priced by the books at 5.3 projected points. Michael Pittman Jr. has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Carnell Tate at ADP 75 and Michael Pittman Jr. at 74. Market coverage on Carnell Tate is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 5.3 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
Carnell Tate and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 24.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 94 yards and a touchdown against NYJ.
By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Carnell Tate was not on the injury report when the call was made.
How Week 1 went
Carnell Tate scored 7.8 PPR points and Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8.
The call was wrong: Michael Pittman Jr. outscored Carnell Tate by 1.0.
Carnell Tate finished 2.5 points above the 5.3 the props implied.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 7.8 PPR points.
Carnell Tate finished as the week's WR52 in PPR scoring.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR35 · TEN · bye 9
- Overall rank
- 85
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
Ranked behind
WR46 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 108
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board23
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 11
- Board size242 draftable players
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