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Start Chase Brown or Isaiah Davis? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chase Brown over Isaiah Davis

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at MIA

Market projects
18.3
fantasy pts
MIA D vs RB
27.0
5th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4
Target share
15%
Through Week 4
Market projects
3.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
6%
Through Week 4
Target share
0%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Chase Brown over Isaiah Davis in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 18.3 points and Isaiah Davis at 3.2, a gap of 15.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.3 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.2 fantasy points for Isaiah Davis, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Isaiah Davis at 10.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 15.1 points ahead of Isaiah Davis on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Isaiah Davis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Through Week 4, Isaiah Davis played 6 percent of NYJ snaps, took 0 percent of the carries, drew 0 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Davis, Week 4 against CHI: 2 of 32 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Isaiah Davis played 16 games for NYJ and scored 71.2 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing RB59.

He ran 43 times for 236 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 21 of 28 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Isaiah Davis, Week 17 of 2025 against NE: 8 of 61 snaps, 3 carries for 11 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards, 3.0 PPR points.

Isaiah Davis, Week 16 of 2025 against NO: 24 of 66 snaps, 3 carries for 8 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 52 yards, 10.0 PPR points.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB5 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
11
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB48 · NYJ · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 0-4

Overall rank
177
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board166
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 12
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board