Start Chase Brown or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chase Brown
- Market projects
- 15.9
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 17.2
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs RB
- 27.0
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 73%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 15%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Chase Brown in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 15.9 points and Chase Brown at 17.2, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market gives Chase Brown a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 72.5 rushing yards, 18.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13, 9 and 12 market sources).
That puts Chase Brown 1.3 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.
Injury status
Chase Brown is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · CIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 17
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size220 draftable players
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