Start Chase Brown or Ashton Jeanty? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty

- Market projects
- 18.4
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs RB
- 27.0
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 73%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 15%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- NE D vs RB
- 20.9
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Chase Brown over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 18.4 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.5, a gap of 1.9. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Chase Brown at ADP 5 and Ashton Jeanty at 9. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 60.5 rushing yards, 23.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14, 11 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 11 market sources).
That puts Chase Brown 1.9 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.
Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chase Brown has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.
Chase Brown is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.
Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · CIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 8
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB11 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 16
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board8
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size219 draftable players
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