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Start Bijan Robinson or Chase Brown? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown

Market projects
22.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
65%
Through Week 4
Target share
19%
Through Week 4
Sit

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at MIA

Market projects
18.4
fantasy pts
MIA D vs RB
27.0
5th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4
Target share
15%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Bijan Robinson over Chase Brown in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 22.1 points and Chase Brown at 18.4, a gap of 3.7. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 22.1 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bijan Robinson at 89.5 rushing yards, 26.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 69% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 11 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Bijan Robinson 3.7 points ahead of Chase Brown on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Bijan Robinson played 65 percent of ATL snaps, took 63 percent of the carries, drew 19 percent of the targets and had 67 percent of the red zone chances.

Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bijan Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 35 of 69 snaps, 16 carries for 72 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.

He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB2 · ATL · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
2
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

RB5 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
10
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 4
  • Board size221 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board