Start Chase Brown or Javonte Williams? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Javonte Williams over Chase Brown

- Market projects
- 17.9
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 75%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 12%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 18.4
- fantasy pts
- MIA D vs RB
- 27.0
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 73%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 15%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Javonte Williams over Chase Brown in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Javonte Williams at 17.9 points and Chase Brown at 18.4, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 and 11 market sources).
Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Javonte Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Javonte Williams at 73.5 rushing yards, 14.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 66% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 16 and 17 market sources).
That puts Chase Brown 0.4 points ahead of Javonte Williams on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.
Injury status
Chase Brown is not on the injury report.
Javonte Williams is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.
Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.
Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.
Through Week 4, Javonte Williams played 75 percent of DAL snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 46 percent of the red zone chances.
Javonte Williams, Week 1 against NYG: 41 of 58 snaps, 12 carries for 41 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Javonte Williams, Week 2 against WAS: 44 of 55 snaps, 12 carries for 30 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards.
Javonte Williams, Week 3 against BAL: 56 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 98 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.
Javonte Williams, Week 4 against HOU: 58 of 78 snaps, 19 carries for 62 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.
He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Javonte Williams played 16 games for DAL and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.
He ran 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · CIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB6 · DAL · bye 14
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 11
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size222 draftable players
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