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Start Kyren Williams or Chase Brown? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Kyren Williams over Chase Brown

Market projects
17.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
70%
Through Week 4
Target share
16%
Through Week 4
Sit

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at MIA

Market projects
17.2
fantasy pts
MIA D vs RB
27.0
5th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4
Target share
15%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Kyren Williams over Chase Brown in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Kyren Williams at 17.4 points and Chase Brown at 17.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.4 fantasy points for Kyren Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Kyren Williams at 69.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 62% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 15 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.2 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives Chase Brown a 58% chance to score a touchdown (10 market sources).

That puts Kyren Williams 0.2 points ahead of Chase Brown on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Kyren Williams is not on the injury report.

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kyren Williams played 70 percent of LAR snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyren Williams, Week 1 against SF: 39 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyren Williams, Week 2 against NYG: 34 of 62 snaps, 12 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyren Williams, Week 3 against DEN: 61 of 86 snaps, 15 carries for 88 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards.

Kyren Williams, Week 4 against PHI: 70 of 84 snaps, 16 carries for 80 yards, 13 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyren Williams played 17 games for LAR and scored 263.3 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing RB9.

He ran 259 times for 1252 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 50 targets for 281 yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB7 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
12
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

RB8 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
13
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 3
  • Board size218 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board