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Start Chase Brown or Braelon Allen? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chase Brown over Braelon Allen

Start

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at MIA

Market projects
18.4
fantasy pts
MIA D vs RB
27.0
5th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4
Target share
15%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
48%
Through Week 4
Target share
6%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Chase Brown over Braelon Allen in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Chase Brown at 18.4 points and Braelon Allen at 14.8, a gap of 3.6. Chase Brown's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chase Brown is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Braelon Allen at 70.5 rushing yards, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 18.4 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 3.6 points ahead of Braelon Allen on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Braelon Allen played 48 percent of NYJ snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 2 against GB: 23 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB4 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
8
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB12 · NYJ · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
23
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 6
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board