Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Justice Hill? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Justice Hill over Chris Rodriguez Jr.
- Books imply
- 6.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 46%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 6%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 5.5
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Justice Hill over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Justice Hill at 6.4 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 5.5, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Justice Hill at 13.5 rushing yards, 13.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 17% chance to score a touchdown (5, 12, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 5.5 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 20.5 rushing yards, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 14 books).
That puts Justice Hill 0.9 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the books.
Injury status
Justice Hill is not on the injury report.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Justice Hill played 46 percent of BAL snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards.
Justice Hill, Week 2 against NO: 27 of 58 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB38 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 146
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
Ranked behind
RB · BAL · bye unlisted
2025 vs rec yds line 4-6
- Overall rank
- not on the board
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- not tiered
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersnot tiered
- Board size230 draftable players
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