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Start Kenny Gainwell or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Books imply
6.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
40%
Through Week 2
Target share
8%
Through Week 2
Books imply
4.7
fantasy pts

Our Week 3 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Kenny Gainwell at 6.1 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.7, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.1 fantasy points for Kenny Gainwell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Kenny Gainwell at 18.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12, 10 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 4.7 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 20.5 rushing yards, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 14 books).

That puts Kenny Gainwell 1.4 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the books.

Injury status

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Kenny Gainwell played 40 percent of TB snaps, took 16 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 1 against CIN: 26 of 57 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 2 against CLE: 23 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 5 carries for 10 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 64 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB35 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs catches line 10-7

Overall rank
135
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

Ranked behind

RB38 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 6-7

Overall rank
145
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 12 and tier 13
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board