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Start Ty Johnson or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Ty Johnson over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Start

Ty Johnson

RB

Market projects
5.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
27%
Through Week 4
Target share
11%
Through Week 4
Market projects
4.5
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Ty Johnson over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Ty Johnson at 5.9 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 4.5, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Ty Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Ty Johnson is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.9 fantasy points for Ty Johnson, with 60 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Ty Johnson at 11.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.6 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 26.5 rushing yards, with a 22% chance to score a touchdown (13 and 16 market sources).

That puts Ty Johnson 1.3 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Ty Johnson played 27 percent of BUF snaps, took 2 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 3 against LAC: 15 of 66 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 50 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ty Johnson, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 13 carries for 36 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 2 touchdowns, 19.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB44 · BUF · bye unlisted

2025 vs anytime td line 4-13

Overall rank
164
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB51 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
189
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board25
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 9
  • Board size275 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board