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Start Jordan Love or C.J. Stroud? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jordan Love over C.J. Stroud

Right: 20.5 to 16.5
Start

Jordan Love

QB · GB · at MIN

Books imply
-0.5
fantasy pts
MIN D vs QB
20.5
11th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
20.5
PPR pts
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · vs BUF

BUF D vs QB
16.5
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
16.5
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Jordan Love over C.J. Stroud in Week 1.

Jordan Love is priced by the books at -0.5 projected points. C.J. Stroud has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Jordan Love at ADP 141 and C.J. Stroud at 167. Market coverage on Jordan Love is 67 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply -0.5 fantasy points for Jordan Love, with 67 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for C.J. Stroud in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Jordan Love and GB visit MIN on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIN allowed 20.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN, with an interception.

C.J. Stroud and HOU host BUF.

BUF allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jordan Love has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jordan Love was not on the injury report when the call was made.

C.J. Stroud was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jordan Love played 15 games for GB and scored 241.1 PPR points, 16.1 a game, finishing QB15.

He completed 291 of 439 passes for 3381 yards, 23 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 47 times for 199 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 94 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jordan Love, Week 16 of 2025 against CHI: 26 of 72 snaps, 8 of 13 passes for 77 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Jordan Love, Week 15 of 2025 against DEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 276 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards, 15.9 PPR points.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

C.J. Stroud, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 14 of 23 passes for 169 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards, 17.3 PPR points.

C.J. Stroud, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 65 of 65 snaps, 16 of 28 passes for 244 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 0 yards, 15.8 PPR points.

C.J. Stroud, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 35 passes for 187 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 0 yards, 11.5 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jordan Love scored 20.5 PPR points and C.J. Stroud scored 16.5.

The call was right: Jordan Love outscored C.J. Stroud by 4.0.

Jordan Love finished 21.0 points above the -0.5 the props implied.

Jordan Love, Week 1 against MIN: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 42 passes for 387 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Jordan Love finished as the week's QB11 in PPR scoring.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards, 16.5 PPR points.

C.J. Stroud finished as the week's QB16 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB1 · GB · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 6-9

Overall rank
14
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB8 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 8-6

Overall rank
24
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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