Start Dalton Kincaid or Dawson Knox? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Dalton Kincaid over Dawson Knox
- Market projects
- 12.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 66%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 17%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 3.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 69%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Dalton Kincaid over Dawson Knox in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 12.5 points and Dawson Knox at 3.7, a gap of 8.8.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 12.5 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market has Dalton Kincaid at 55.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14 and 16 market sources).
Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Dawson Knox, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market has Dawson Knox at 11.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15 and 15 market sources).
That puts Dalton Kincaid 8.8 points ahead of Dawson Knox on the market projections.
Injury status
Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.
Dawson Knox is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.
Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards.
Dalton Kincaid, Week 2 against DET: 49 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown.
Dalton Kincaid, Week 3 against LAC: 44 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 38 yards.
Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Through Week 4, Dawson Knox played 69 percent of BUF snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.
Dawson Knox, Week 1 against HOU: 39 of 58 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Dawson Knox, Week 2 against DET: 56 of 74 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.
Dawson Knox, Week 3 against LAC: 46 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Dawson Knox, Week 4 against NE: 36 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.
He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.
He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Dawson Knox played 17 games for BUF and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.
He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 234 air yards.
He was on the field for 61 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE3 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
TE35 · BUF · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 205
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board159
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 9
- Board size289 draftable players
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