Start Dalton Kincaid or DK Metcalf? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Dalton Kincaid over DK Metcalf
- Books imply
- 12.9
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 12.4
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 96%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 26%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Dalton Kincaid over DK Metcalf in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Dalton Kincaid at 12.9 points and DK Metcalf at 12.4, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 12.9 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Dalton Kincaid at 54.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 12.4 fantasy points for DK Metcalf, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have DK Metcalf at 52.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.5 points ahead of DK Metcalf on the books.
Injury status
Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.
DK Metcalf is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, DK Metcalf played 96 percent of PIT snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 43 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
DK Metcalf, Week 1 against ATL: 64 of 67 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.
DK Metcalf, Week 2 against NE: 68 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, DK Metcalf played 15 games for PIT and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.
He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 436 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
DK Metcalf, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 65 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE3 · BUF · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 5-7
- Overall rank
- 43
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
WR23 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs catches line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 52
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 10
- Board size230 draftable players
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