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Start David Montgomery or D'Andre Swift? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start D'Andre Swift over David Montgomery

Right: 32.4 to 28.9
Start

D'Andre Swift

RB · CHI · at CAR

Books imply
4.3
fantasy pts
CAR D vs RB
52.8
most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
57%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
32.4
PPR pts
Sit

David Montgomery

RB · HOU · vs BUF

BUF D vs RB
33.9
7th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
49%
Week 1
Target share
8%
Week 1
Scored
28.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start D'Andre Swift over David Montgomery in Week 1.

D'Andre Swift is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points. David Montgomery has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take D'Andre Swift at ADP 44 and David Montgomery at 52. Market coverage on D'Andre Swift is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for D'Andre Swift, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for David Montgomery in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

D'Andre Swift and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

David Montgomery and HOU host BUF.

BUF allowed 33.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF and caught passes for 17 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, D'Andre Swift has the softer matchup.

Injury status

D'Andre Swift was not on the injury report when the call was made.

David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.

He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

D'Andre Swift, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 10 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 5.8 PPR points.

D'Andre Swift, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 66 snaps, 9 carries for 54 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 2 touchdowns, 21.9 PPR points.

D'Andre Swift, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 13 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 9.0 PPR points.

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

David Montgomery, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 8 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards, 6.5 PPR points.

David Montgomery, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 22 of 64 snaps, 10 carries for 25 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 6.0 PPR points.

David Montgomery, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 13 of 74 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

D'Andre Swift scored 32.4 PPR points and David Montgomery scored 28.9.

The call was right: D'Andre Swift outscored David Montgomery by 3.5.

D'Andre Swift finished 28.1 points above the 4.3 the props implied.

D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns, 32.4 PPR points.

D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB5 in PPR scoring.

David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 28.9 PPR points.

David Montgomery finished as the week's RB7 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB10 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rush yds line 5-12

Overall rank
26
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB12 · CHI · bye 10

2025 vs rush yds line 10-6

Overall rank
30
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size244 draftable players

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