Start D'Andre Swift or Kyren Williams? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Kyren Williams over D'Andre Swift
Wrong: 15.5 to 32.4
- Books imply
- 5.7
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs RB
- 24.3
- 14th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 64%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 11%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 15.5
- PPR pts

- CAR D vs RB
- 52.8
- most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 57%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 32.4
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Kyren Williams over D'Andre Swift in Week 1.
Kyren Williams is priced by the books at 5.7 projected points. D'Andre Swift has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Kyren Williams at ADP 33 and D'Andre Swift at 43. Market coverage on Kyren Williams is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Kyren Williams, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for D'Andre Swift in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Kyren Williams and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 24.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 114 yards and a touchdown against SF and caught passes for 29 more yards.
D'Andre Swift and CHI visit CAR.
CAR allowed 52.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Running backs ran for 224 yards and 4 touchdowns against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, D'Andre Swift has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Kyren Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.
D'Andre Swift was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kyren Williams played 17 games for LAR and scored 263.3 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing RB9.
He ran 259 times for 1252 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 50 targets for 281 yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Kyren Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against ARI: 12 carries for 60 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards, 11.1 PPR points.
Kyren Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 46 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 92 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 16.0 PPR points.
Kyren Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 65 of 92 snaps, 23 carries for 70 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 15 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
In 2025, D'Andre Swift played 16 games for CHI and scored 228.6 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing RB15.
He ran 223 times for 1087 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 34 of 48 targets for 299 yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
D'Andre Swift, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 10 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 5.8 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 66 snaps, 9 carries for 54 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 2 touchdowns, 21.9 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 13 carries for 58 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 9.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Kyren Williams scored 15.5 PPR points and D'Andre Swift scored 32.4.
The call was wrong: D'Andre Swift outscored Kyren Williams by 16.9.
Kyren Williams finished 9.9 points above the 5.7 the props implied.
Kyren Williams, Week 1 against SF: 39 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.5 PPR points.
Kyren Williams finished as the week's RB15 in PPR scoring.
D'Andre Swift, Week 1 against CAR: 43 of 75 snaps, 18 carries for 124 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3 touchdowns, 32.4 PPR points.
D'Andre Swift finished as the week's RB5 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB12 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 10-6
- Overall rank
- 30
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB33 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs rush yds line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 78
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board48
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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