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Start Emeka Egbuka or Davante Adams? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Emeka Egbuka over Davante Adams

Right: 11.3 to 5.6
Start

Emeka Egbuka

WR · TB · at CIN

Books imply
6.6
fantasy pts
CIN D vs WR
25.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
86%
Week 1
Target share
22%
Week 1
Scored
11.3
PPR pts
Sit

Davante Adams

WR · LAR · vs SF

Books imply
5.4
fantasy pts
SF D vs WR
19.8
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
54%
Week 1
Target share
22%
Week 1
Scored
5.6
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Emeka Egbuka over Davante Adams in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Emeka Egbuka at 6.6 points and Davante Adams at 5.4, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Emeka Egbuka at ADP 36 and Davante Adams at 42. Market coverage on Emeka Egbuka is 30 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Emeka Egbuka, with 30 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 5.4 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Emeka Egbuka 1.2 points ahead of Davante Adams on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Emeka Egbuka and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.

Davante Adams and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.

SF allowed 19.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 108 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Emeka Egbuka has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Emeka Egbuka was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Davante Adams was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Emeka Egbuka played 17 games for TB and scored 195.7 PPR points, 11.5 a game, finishing WR23.

He caught 63 of 127 targets for 938 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 603 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 39 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 39 of 67 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 36 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 40 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Davante Adams, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 33 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 71 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Emeka Egbuka scored 11.3 PPR points and Davante Adams scored 5.6.

The call was right: Emeka Egbuka outscored Davante Adams by 5.7.

Emeka Egbuka finished 4.7 points above the 6.6 the props implied.

Emeka Egbuka, Week 1 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 63 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Emeka Egbuka finished as the week's WR29 in PPR scoring.

Davante Adams finished 0.2 points above the 5.4 the props implied.

Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 5.6 PPR points.

Davante Adams finished as the week's WR67 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR14 · TB · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
75
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR29 · LAR · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 4-10

Overall rank
96
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board21
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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