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Start RJ Harvey or David Montgomery? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start David Montgomery over RJ Harvey

Wrong: 4.3 to 19.3
Start

David Montgomery

RB · final

Market projected
11.8
pre-game
Snap share
56%
Week 4
Target share
0%
Week 4
Scored
4.3
PPR pts
Sit

RJ Harvey

RB · final

Market projected
9.3
pre-game
Snap share
45%
Week 4
Target share
26%
Week 4
Scored
19.3
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start David Montgomery over RJ Harvey in Week 4.

Market-based projections have David Montgomery at 11.8 points and RJ Harvey at 9.3, a gap of 2.5.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has David Montgomery at 44.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (16, 14, 16 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for RJ Harvey, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has RJ Harvey at 15.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 17, 13 and 15 market sources).

That puts David Montgomery 2.5 points ahead of RJ Harvey on the market projections.

Injury status

David Montgomery was not on the injury report when the call was made.

RJ Harvey was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, David Montgomery played 54 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Through Week 3, RJ Harvey played 42 percent of DEN snaps, took 13 percent of the carries, drew 19 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

RJ Harvey, Week 1 against KC: 26 of 51 snaps, 3 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards.

RJ Harvey, Week 3 against LAR: 24 of 67 snaps, 2 carries for 6 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 41 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, RJ Harvey played 17 games for DEN and scored 206.6 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing RB20.

He ran 146 times for 540 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 47 of 58 targets for 356 yards.

He was on the field for 41 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

RJ Harvey, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 15 carries for 28 yards, 4 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 4.3 PPR points.

How Week 4 went

David Montgomery scored 4.3 PPR points and RJ Harvey scored 19.3.

The call was wrong: RJ Harvey outscored David Montgomery by 15.0.

David Montgomery finished 7.5 points below the 11.8 the market projected.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 19 yards, 4.3 PPR points.

David Montgomery finished as the week's RB49 in PPR scoring.

RJ Harvey finished 10.1 points above the 9.3 the market projected.

RJ Harvey, Week 4 against SF: 29 of 65 snaps, 7 carries for 25 yards, 10 targets and 10 catches for 68 yards, 19.3 PPR points.

RJ Harvey finished as the week's RB12 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB21 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs carries line 5-12

Overall rank
55
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

RB24 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs carries line 1-3

Overall rank
65
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 8
  • Board size224 draftable players

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