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Start David Montgomery or Tony Pollard? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start David Montgomery over Tony Pollard

Books imply
11.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
51%
Through Week 2
Target share
6%
Through Week 2
Sit

Tony Pollard

RB · Questionable

Books imply
9.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
53%
Through Week 2
Target share
7%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start David Montgomery over Tony Pollard in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project David Montgomery at 11.1 points and Tony Pollard at 9.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.1 fantasy points for David Montgomery, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have David Montgomery at 48.5 rushing yards, 8.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 47% chance to score a touchdown (14, 13, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Tony Pollard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Tony Pollard at 46.5 rushing yards, 6.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (13, 9, 9 and 14 books).

That puts David Montgomery 1.3 points ahead of Tony Pollard on the books.

Injury status

David Montgomery is not on the injury report.

Tony Pollard is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, David Montgomery played 51 percent of HOU snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 47 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 1 against BUF: 39 of 79 snaps, 20 carries for 60 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Through Week 2, Tony Pollard played 53 percent of TEN snaps, took 49 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

Tony Pollard, Week 1 against NYJ: 26 of 50 snaps, 7 carries for 35 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 2 against PHI: 29 of 53 snaps, 14 carries for 64 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

David Montgomery, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 8 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards, 6.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tony Pollard, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 14 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB23 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rush yds line 5-12

Overall rank
52
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

RB27 · TEN · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 8-9

Overall rank
71
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board19
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 7 and tier 8
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board