Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Xavier Worthy? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Xavier Worthy over Deebo Samuel Sr.
Wrong: 4.8 to 18.0
- Books imply
- 3.6
- fantasy pts
- DEN D vs WR
- 14.7
- 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 77%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 24%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.8
- PPR pts
- LAR D vs WR
- 47.9
- 4th most to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 18.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Xavier Worthy over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 1.
Xavier Worthy is priced by the books at 3.6 projected points. Deebo Samuel Sr. has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Xavier Worthy at ADP 107 and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 114. Market coverage on Xavier Worthy is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Xavier Worthy, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Xavier Worthy and KC host DEN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
DEN allowed 14.7 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 3rd fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 37 yards and a touchdown against DEN.
Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit LAR.
LAR allowed 47.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns against LAR.
By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Xavier Worthy was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Deebo Samuel Sr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Xavier Worthy played 14 games for KC and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.
He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 339 air yards.
He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Xavier Worthy, Week 17 of 2025 against DEN: 34 of 43 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.1 PPR points.
Xavier Worthy, Week 16 of 2025 against TEN: 38 of 45 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 41 yards, 6.1 PPR points.
Xavier Worthy, Week 15 of 2025 against LAC: 41 of 61 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 5.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Xavier Worthy scored 4.8 PPR points and Deebo Samuel Sr. scored 18.0.
The call was wrong: Deebo Samuel Sr. outscored Xavier Worthy by 13.2.
Xavier Worthy finished 1.2 points above the 3.7 the props implied.
Xavier Worthy, Week 1 against DEN: 53 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards, 4.8 PPR points.
Xavier Worthy finished as the week's WR73 in PPR scoring.
Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 1 against LAR: 27 of 65 snaps, 1 carry for 12 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.0 PPR points.
Deebo Samuel Sr. finished as the week's WR13 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR4 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs rec yds line 8-8
- Overall rank
- 10
- Draft pick
- ADP 10
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
WR36 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs rec yds line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 105
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board95
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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