Start Kyle Williams or Derius Davis? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Derius Davis over Kyle Williams in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Derius Davis at 4.1 points and Kyle Williams at 3.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Derius Davis's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Derius Davis is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.1 fantasy points for Derius Davis, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Derius Davis a 14% chance to score a touchdown (16 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Kyle Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Kyle Williams at 13.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (10, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Derius Davis 0.4 points ahead of Kyle Williams on the market projections.

Injury status

Derius Davis is not on the injury report.

Kyle Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Derius Davis played 8 percent of LAC snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Derius Davis, Week 1 against ARI: 10 of 55 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Derius Davis, Week 2 against LV: 8 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Derius Davis, Week 3 against BUF: 1 of 69 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Derius Davis, Week 4 against SEA: 3 of 71 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Through Week 4, Kyle Williams played 24 percent of NE snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Williams, Week 1 against SEA: 12 of 71 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 2 against PIT: 11 of 55 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 3 against JAX: 22 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 34 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 4 against BUF: 19 of 76 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derius Davis played 11 games for LAC and scored 1.5 PPR points, 0.1 a game.

He caught 2 of 3 targets for 10 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 2 air yards.

He was on the field for 5 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Williams played 17 games for NE and scored 49.2 PPR points, 2.9 a game, finishing WR112.

He caught 10 of 21 targets for 209 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 130 air yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 5 went

Derius Davis scored 0.0 PPR points and Kyle Williams scored 18.1.

The call was wrong: Kyle Williams outscored Derius Davis by 18.1.

Derius Davis finished 4.1 points below the 4.1 the market projected.

Derius Davis, Week 5 against DEN: 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kyle Williams finished 14.4 points above the 3.7 the market projected.

Kyle Williams, Week 5 against LV: 3 targets and 3 catches for 91 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.1 PPR points.

Kyle Williams finished as the week's WR13 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Derius Davis over Darnell Mooney.
• Start Dyami Brown over Derius Davis.
• Start Derius Davis over Elic Ayomanor.
• Start Darnell Mooney over Kyle Williams.
• Start Kyle Williams over Devontez Walker.
• Start Elic Ayomanor over Kyle Williams.