Start Jaylen Warren or Derrick Henry? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jaylen Warren over Derrick Henry

- Market projects
- 17.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 74%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 15.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 59%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 7%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Jaylen Warren over Derrick Henry in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Jaylen Warren at 17.5 points and Derrick Henry at 15.7, a gap of 1.7. Jaylen Warren's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Jaylen Warren is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, 4.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (14, 5, 7 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 17.5 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Jaylen Warren at 64.5 rushing yards, with a 56% chance to score a touchdown (7 and 14 market sources).
That puts Jaylen Warren 1.7 points ahead of Derrick Henry on the market projections.
Injury status
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren played 74 percent of PIT snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 2 against NE: 50 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 43 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB7 · PIT · bye unlisted
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 17
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
RB11 · BAL · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 26
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board9
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 7
- Board size258 draftable players
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