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Start Derrick Henry or Kyren Williams? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Derrick Henry over Kyren Williams

Market projects
17.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
59%
Through Week 4
Target share
7%
Through Week 4
Market projects
17.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
70%
Through Week 4
Target share
16%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Derrick Henry over Kyren Williams in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 17.8 points and Kyren Williams at 17.3, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Kyren Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Kyren Williams at 69.5 rushing yards, 19.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 62% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13, 15 and 14 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 0.4 points ahead of Kyren Williams on the market projections.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Kyren Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Kyren Williams played 70 percent of LAR snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 44 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyren Williams, Week 1 against SF: 39 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyren Williams, Week 2 against NYG: 34 of 62 snaps, 12 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyren Williams, Week 3 against DEN: 61 of 86 snaps, 15 carries for 88 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards.

Kyren Williams, Week 4 against PHI: 70 of 84 snaps, 16 carries for 80 yards, 13 targets and 10 catches for 67 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyren Williams played 17 games for LAR and scored 263.3 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing RB9.

He ran 259 times for 1252 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 50 targets for 281 yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB7 · BAL · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
12
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB8 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
13
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board1
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board