Start Bijan Robinson or Derrick Henry? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry

- Market projects
- 22.1
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 65%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 19%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 17.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 59%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 7%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Bijan Robinson over Derrick Henry in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Bijan Robinson at 22.1 points and Derrick Henry at 17.7, a gap of 4.4. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 22.1 fantasy points for Bijan Robinson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Bijan Robinson at 89.5 rushing yards, 26.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 69% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 11 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Derrick Henry at 85.5 rushing yards, with a 57% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 15 market sources).
That puts Bijan Robinson 4.4 points ahead of Derrick Henry on the market projections.
Injury status
Bijan Robinson is not on the injury report.
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Bijan Robinson played 65 percent of ATL snaps, took 63 percent of the carries, drew 19 percent of the targets and had 67 percent of the red zone chances.
Bijan Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 46 of 60 snaps, 21 carries for 83 yards, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.
Bijan Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 35 of 69 snaps, 16 carries for 72 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.
Bijan Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 51 of 71 snaps, 29 carries for 194 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Bijan Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 34 of 57 snaps, 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Through Week 4, Derrick Henry played 59 percent of BAL snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Derrick Henry, Week 3 against DAL: 43 of 64 snaps, 26 carries for 89 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 4 against TEN: 40 of 64 snaps, 23 carries for 73 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bijan Robinson played 17 games for ATL and scored 370.8 PPR points, 21.8 a game, finishing RB2.
He ran 287 times for 1478 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 79 of 103 targets for 820 yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB2 · ATL · bye 11
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 2
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
RB7 · BAL · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 12
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board10
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 4
- Board size221 draftable players
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