Start DeVonta Smith or Garrett Wilson? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith

- Books imply
- 14.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 82%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 24%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 16.1
- fantasy pts
- CHI D vs WR
- 27.4
- 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 91%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 34%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Garrett Wilson at 14.7 points and DeVonta Smith at 16.1, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. DeVonta Smith's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for DeVonta Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have DeVonta Smith at 72.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Garrett Wilson at 66.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 35% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13 and 15 books).
That puts DeVonta Smith 1.4 points ahead of Garrett Wilson on the books.
Week 3 matchups
DeVonta Smith and PHI visit CHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
CHI allowed 27.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 11th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 145 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.
Injury status
DeVonta Smith is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.
Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, DeVonta Smith played 91 percent of PHI snaps, drew 34 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.
DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.
DeVonta Smith, Week 2 against TEN: 67 of 76 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 117 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 2, Garrett Wilson played 82 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.
Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards.
Garrett Wilson, Week 2 against GB: 65 of 74 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.
He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
DeVonta Smith, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 4 targets and 3 catches for 52 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.
He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR9 · PHI · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 7-9
- Overall rank
- 27
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR10 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 4-3
- Overall rank
- 28
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size230 draftable players
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