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Start Justin Jefferson or DeVonta Smith? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Justin Jefferson over DeVonta Smith

Start

Justin Jefferson

WR · MIN · at CHI

Books imply
17.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
42.3
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
92%
Through Week 1
Target share
39%
Through Week 1
Sit

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHI · at TEN

Books imply
13.6
fantasy pts
TEN D vs WR
28.6
16th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Through Week 1
Target share
27%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Justin Jefferson over DeVonta Smith in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Justin Jefferson at 17.6 points and DeVonta Smith at 13.6, a gap of 4.0. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 5 and DeVonta Smith at 15.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 13.6 fantasy points for DeVonta Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Justin Jefferson 4.0 points ahead of DeVonta Smith on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 42.3 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns against CHI.

DeVonta Smith and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

DeVonta Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Justin Jefferson played 92 percent of MIN snaps, drew 39 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 1, DeVonta Smith played 95 percent of PHI snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 1 carry for 3 yards, 11 targets and 8 catches for 101 yards, 18.4 PPR points.

Justin Jefferson, Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 53 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards, 7.0 PPR points.

In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

DeVonta Smith, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 4 targets and 3 catches for 52 yards, 8.2 PPR points.

DeVonta Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 46 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR7 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
65
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR9 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 7-9

Overall rank
68
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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