Start Trevor Lawrence or Geno Smith? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Geno Smith in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.3 points and Geno Smith at 14.6, a gap of 2.6.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Trevor Lawrence at 225.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 26% chance to score a touchdown (13, 16, 15 and 14 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 2.6 points ahead of Geno Smith on the market projections.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith.
• Start Brock Purdy over Geno Smith.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy.