Trevor Lawrence or Geno Smith: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 20th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

The player markets price Geno Smith at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 82nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 12.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and thrown 8.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 113 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 2 against DEN he completed 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 136 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.

In Week 3 against DET he completed 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he completed 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 7.9 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 that year and Geno Smith QB23.

Trevor Lawrence had 112 more pass attempts than Geno Smith, 560 to 448.

Trevor Lawrence had 982 more passing yards than Geno Smith, 4007 to 3025.

This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 96 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and Geno Smith in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.