Start Tyler Warren or George Kittle? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start George Kittle over Tyler Warren
Wrong: 3.2 to 10.3
- LAR D vs TE
- 7.1
- 8th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 15%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.2
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.1
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs TE
- 10.3
- 12th fewest to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 93%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 17%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start George Kittle over Tyler Warren in Week 1.
Tyler Warren is priced by the books at 2.1 projected points and George Kittle is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take George Kittle at ADP 78 and Tyler Warren at 68.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tyler Warren, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for George Kittle in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tyler Warren and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 10.3 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 13 yards and a touchdown against BAL.
George Kittle and SF visit LAR.
LAR allowed 7.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against LAR.
By points allowed to the position, Tyler Warren has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tyler Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.
George Kittle was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyler Warren played 17 games for IND and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.
He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets and 343 air yards.
He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyler Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 8 targets and 5 catches for 26 yards, 7.6 PPR points.
Tyler Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards, 9.3 PPR points.
Tyler Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards, 6.0 PPR points.
In 2025, George Kittle played 11 games for SF and scored 161.5 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE13.
He caught 57 of 69 targets for 628 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 376 air yards.
He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
George Kittle, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 40 of 42 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 29 yards, 7.9 PPR points.
George Kittle, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 41 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 115 yards, 1 touchdown, 24.5 PPR points.
George Kittle, Week 15 of 2025 against TEN: 71 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 88 yards, 1 touchdown, 22.8 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
George Kittle scored 3.2 PPR points and Tyler Warren scored 10.3.
The call was wrong: Tyler Warren outscored George Kittle by 7.1.
George Kittle, Week 1 against LAR: 30 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 3.2 PPR points.
George Kittle finished as the week's TE41 in PPR scoring.
Tyler Warren finished 8.2 points above the 2.1 the props implied.
Tyler Warren, Week 1 against BAL: 50 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.3 PPR points.
Tyler Warren finished as the week's TE14 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE2 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 3-14
- Overall rank
- 9
- Draft pick
- ADP 9
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
TE7 · SF · bye 8
2025 vs catches line 5-6
- Overall rank
- 104
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board95
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 3
- Board size244 draftable players
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