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Start Malik Nabers or George Pickens? Week 1

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start George Pickens over Malik Nabers

Wrong: 5.8 to 12.9
Start

George Pickens

WR · DAL · at NYG · final

Books implied
12.2
pre-game
NYG D vs WR
29.2
15th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
84%
Week 1
Target share
20%
Week 1
Scored
5.8
PPR pts
Sit

Malik Nabers

WR · NYG · vs DAL · final

Books implied
5.7
pre-game
DAL D vs WR
22.1
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
52%
Week 1
Target share
31%
Week 1
Scored
12.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start George Pickens over Malik Nabers in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project George Pickens at 12.2 points and Malik Nabers at 5.7, a gap of 6.6. Drafters take George Pickens at ADP 24 and Malik Nabers at 28. Market coverage on George Pickens is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.2 fantasy points for George Pickens, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Malik Nabers, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts George Pickens 6.6 points ahead of Malik Nabers on the books.

Week 1 matchups

George Pickens and DAL visit NYG on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

NYG allowed 29.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and a touchdown against NYG.

Malik Nabers and NYG host DAL on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

DAL allowed 22.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and no touchdowns against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, George Pickens has the softer matchup.

Injury status

George Pickens was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Malik Nabers was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, George Pickens played 17 games for DAL and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets and 950 air yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

George Pickens, Week 18 of 2025 against NYG: 3 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards, 1.9 PPR points.

George Pickens, Week 17 of 2025 against WAS: 80 of 92 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 78 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

George Pickens, Week 16 of 2025 against LAC: 51 of 58 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown, 26.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Malik Nabers played 4 games for NYG and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 219 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

George Pickens scored 5.8 PPR points and Malik Nabers scored 12.9.

The call was wrong: Malik Nabers outscored George Pickens by 7.1.

George Pickens finished 6.4 points below the 12.2 the props implied.

George Pickens, Week 1 against NYG: 49 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards, 5.8 PPR points.

George Pickens finished as the week's WR63 in PPR scoring.

Malik Nabers finished 7.2 points above the 5.7 the props implied.

Malik Nabers, Week 1 against DAL: 36 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 69 yards, 12.9 PPR points.

Malik Nabers finished as the week's WR26 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR8 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 1-3

Overall rank
23
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR9 · DAL · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 8-9

Overall rank
25
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size242 draftable players

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