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Start Tyler Allgeier or Jacory Croskey-Merritt? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyler Allgeier over Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Books imply
8.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
61%
Through Week 2
Target share
6%
Through Week 2
Books imply
7.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
43%
Through Week 2
Target share
3%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Tyler Allgeier over Jacory Croskey-Merritt in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Tyler Allgeier at 8.9 points and Jacory Croskey-Merritt at 7.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Tyler Allgeier, with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Tyler Allgeier at 33.5 rushing yards, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 7.9 fantasy points for Jacory Croskey-Merritt, with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The books have Jacory Croskey-Merritt at 39.5 rushing yards, with a 28% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 books).

That puts Tyler Allgeier 1.0 points ahead of Jacory Croskey-Merritt on the books.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Tyler Allgeier played 61 percent of ARI snaps, took 46 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 1 against LAC: 44 of 75 snaps, 17 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 2 against SEA: 32 of 50 snaps, 5 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Through Week 2, Jacory Croskey-Merritt played 43 percent of WAS snaps, took 44 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 1 against PHI: 34 of 70 snaps, 16 carries for 63 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 2 against DAL: 26 of 71 snaps, 12 carries for 43 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 7 carries for 16 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 3 yards, 2.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Jacory Croskey-Merritt played 17 games for WAS and scored 140.3 PPR points, 8.3 a game, finishing RB33.

He ran 175 times for 805 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 9 of 13 targets for 68 yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 13 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB30 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs rush yds line 8-9

Overall rank
90
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB33 · WAS · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 3-9

Overall rank
125
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board35
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 10
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board