Start Keenan Allen or Jalen McMillan? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Keenan Allen over Jalen McMillan
Right: 9.2 to 0.0
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 67%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.2
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 2.0
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs WR
- 25.8
- 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Keenan Allen over Jalen McMillan in Week 1.
Jalen McMillan is priced by the books at 2.0 projected points and Keenan Allen is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Keenan Allen at ADP 147 and Jalen McMillan at 148.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Keenan Allen in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 2.0 fantasy points for Jalen McMillan, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Keenan Allen and IND host BAL.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
Jalen McMillan and TB visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CIN allowed 25.8 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 139 yards and no touchdowns against CIN.
By points allowed to the position, Jalen McMillan has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Keenan Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jalen McMillan was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.
He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keenan Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against DEN: 13 targets and 7 catches for 36 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
Keenan Allen, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 36 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 17 yards, 2.7 PPR points.
Keenan Allen, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 30 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 9.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Jalen McMillan played 4 games for TB and scored 29.9 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing WR137.
He caught 12 of 15 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 119 air yards.
He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jalen McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 37 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards, 2.1 PPR points.
Jalen McMillan, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 35 of 67 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 114 yards, 18.4 PPR points.
Jalen McMillan, Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 34 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Keenan Allen scored 9.2 PPR points and Jalen McMillan scored 0.0.
The call was right: Keenan Allen outscored Jalen McMillan by 9.2.
Keenan Allen, Week 1 against BAL: 36 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 32 yards, 9.2 PPR points.
Keenan Allen finished as the week's WR38 in PPR scoring.
Jalen McMillan finished 2.0 points below the 2.0 the props implied.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR46 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-13
- Overall rank
- 125
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
WR52 · TB · bye 10
2025 vs catches line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 138
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board13
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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