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Start Trevor Lawrence or Jared Goff? Week 5

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Jared Goff over Trevor Lawrence

Right: 28.9 to 22.7
Start

Jared Goff

QB · final

Market projected
21.1
pre-game
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Scored
28.9
PPR pts
Sit

Trevor Lawrence

QB · final

Market projected
17.1
pre-game
Snap share
96%
Through Week 4
Scored
22.7
PPR pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Jared Goff over Trevor Lawrence in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Jared Goff at 21.1 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.1, a gap of 4.0.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 21.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Jared Goff at 280.5 passing yards, 2.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 7% chance to score a touchdown (15, 18, 12 and 16 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Trevor Lawrence at 225.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (16, 18, 17 and 17 market sources).

That puts Jared Goff 4.0 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the market projections.

Injury status

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 174 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 2 against BUF: 65 of 65 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 7 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 3 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Jared Goff, Week 4 against CAR: 71 of 71 snaps, 32 of 52 passes for 412 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 5 went

Jared Goff scored 28.9 PPR points and Trevor Lawrence scored 22.7.

The call was right: Jared Goff outscored Trevor Lawrence by 6.2.

Jared Goff finished 7.9 points above the 21.1 the market projected.

Jared Goff, Week 5 against ARI: 19 of 30 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards, 28.9 PPR points.

Jared Goff finished as the week's QB3 in PPR scoring.

Trevor Lawrence finished 5.7 points above the 17.1 the market projected.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards, 22.7 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence finished as the week's QB8 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB9 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs pass yds line 2-3

Overall rank
79
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB12 · DET · bye 6

2026 vs pass yds line 3-2

Overall rank
87
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size289 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

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