Start Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford
- Market projects
- 22.9
- fantasy pts
- LAR D vs QB
- 16.3
- 13th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 20.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 4
Make this call for your own roster
Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.
Or get it by email
Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.
Free. One a week, one tap to stop.
Our Week 5 call
Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 22.9 points and Matthew Stafford at 20.6, a gap of 2.3.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 22.9 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Josh Allen at 244.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 36.5 rushing yards, with a 53% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 20.6 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Matthew Stafford at 280.5 passing yards and 2.5 passing touchdowns, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 15 market sources).
That puts Josh Allen 2.3 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Josh Allen and BUF visit LAR on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
LAR allowed 16.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 154 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.8 interceptions.
Injury status
Josh Allen is not on the injury report.
Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 9.8 air yards per attempt.
Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 3 against LAC: 66 of 66 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 7 carries for 23 yards.
Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.
Through Week 4, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 169 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.
Matthew Stafford, Week 1 against SF: 51 of 61 snaps, 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.
Matthew Stafford, Week 2 against NYG: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.
Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.
Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.
He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB1 · BUF · bye 7
2026 vs anytime td line 6-0
- Overall rank
- 24
- Draft pick
- ADP 1
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB4 · LAR · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 39
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board15
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 4
- Board size221 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant